MOS

NYSE

MOSAIC CO

Materials, Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals

$23.06

close 7 Aug 2026

-29.05%

52-week change

$7.33B

market cap

$19.80

$36.99

52-week range

Expected price

$1.13 – $1.39

Current price

$23.06

Signal

Could be overvalued

A historical-multiple reference, never a fair-value claim. The band uses only data public at each date and ends at the latest month — no forward estimates.

Current multiples

P/E (TTM)-11.47x

P/S (TTM)0.60x

P/B0.64x

EV/EBITDA (TTM)12.06x

FCF yield (TTM)-12.92%

PEG (TTM, GAAP)—

Context

P/E, own 5-year average21.07x

P/E, sector median31.36x*

Price at 5-year median P/E—*

Indicated dividend yield3.82%

Forward — analyst consensus

Forward P/E (FY2026)61.98x*

Forward P/E (FY2027)13.65x

Forward PEG0.18*

Consensus EPS FY2026 (9 analysts)$0.3721

EPS growth (FY2026→FY2027)354.06%

Revenue growth (FY2026)2.20%

Street view

Price target (mean)$27.56*

Target upside19.51%

Ratings (buy / hold / sell)10 / 9 / 1

FY2026 EPS revisions, 30d (up / down)0 / 5

5-year history

Dashed line: average of month-end values

P/E (TTM)

P/S (TTM)

P/B

FCF yield (TTM)

Dividend yield

period to 30 Jun 2026, filed 5 Aug 2026, close 7 Aug 2026

Discounted cash flow

Ten projected years plus a perpetuity, prefilled from filings — a model to argue with, never a fair-value claim.

Free cash flow, last ten years and TTM

Assumptions

Growth rate, years 1–10%

Perpetual growth%Discount rate%

Base FCF$M

As filed — not assumptions

Current price$23.06

Cash & equivalents$294.00M

Total debt$4.83B

Shares outstanding317.90M

Result

DCF price per share-$81.77

Current price$23.06

Margin of safety-454.62%

PV of years 1–10-$8.14B

PV of terminal value-$13.32B

Equity value-$26.00B

Market-implied growth—

The base free cash flow is not positive; growing a negative flow is rarely a meaningful valuation.

Projected FCF, years 1–10

Hover for PV and growth

Projection detail

Override growth for any year; blank years use the uniform rate

Year	2026	2027	2028	2029	2030	2031	2032	2033	2034	2035	Terminal
Growth, %											2.5
FCF	-$994.46M	-$1.04B	-$1.10B	-$1.15B	-$1.21B	-$1.27B	-$1.33B	-$1.40B	-$1.47B	-$1.54B	-$28.75B
PV	-$920.79M	-$895.21M	-$870.35M	-$846.17M	-$822.67M	-$799.81M	-$777.60M	-$756.00M	-$735.00M	-$714.58M	-$13.32B

period to 30 Jun 2026, filed 5 Aug 2026, close 7 Aug 2026