UPS
NYSEUNITED PARCEL SERVICE INC
Industrials, Air Freight & Logistics
$104.50
close 7 Aug 2026
+21.08%
52-week change
$88.91B
market cap
$82.00
$122.41
52-week range
Expected price
Expected price
$74.35 – $90.87
Current price
$104.50
Signal
Could be overvalued
A historical-multiple reference, never a fair-value claim. The band uses only data public at each date and ends at the latest month — no forward estimates.
Current multiples
P/E (TTM)19.42x
P/S (TTM)0.99x
P/B5.90x
EV/EBITDA (TTM)11.25x
FCF yield (TTM)6.14%
PEG (TTM, GAAP)—
Context
P/E, own 5-year average16.97x
P/E, sector median29.72x*
Price at 5-year median P/E$82.98*
Indicated dividend yield6.28%
Forward — analyst consensus
Forward P/E (FY2026)14.50x*
Forward P/E (FY2027)12.95x
Forward PEG1.21*
Consensus EPS FY2026 (28 analysts)$7.21
EPS growth (FY2026→FY2027)11.95%
Revenue growth (FY2026)3.15%
Street view
Price target (mean)$115.96*
Target upside10.97%
Ratings (buy / hold / sell)14 / 12 / 3
FY2026 EPS revisions, 30d (up / down)7 / 3
5-year history
Dashed line: average of month-end values
P/E (TTM)
P/S (TTM)
P/B
FCF yield (TTM)
Dividend yield
period to 30 Jun 2026, filed 5 Aug 2026, close 7 Aug 2026
Discounted cash flow
Ten projected years plus a perpetuity, prefilled from filings — a model to argue with, never a fair-value claim.
Free cash flow, last ten years and TTM
5Y CAGR -1.14%10Y CAGR -0.58%
Assumptions
As filed — not assumptions
Current price$104.50
Cash & equivalents$4.65B
Total debt$24.48B
Shares outstanding850.78M
Result
DCF price per share$66.78
Current price$104.50
Margin of safety-36.09%
PV of years 1–10$34.65B
PV of terminal value$42.00B
Equity value$56.82B
Market-implied growth+3.36%
Projected FCF, years 1–10
Hover for PV and growth
Projection detail
Override growth for any year; blank years use the uniform rate
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | 2031 | 2032 | 2033 | 2034 | 2035 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Growth, % | 2.5 | ||||||||||
| FCF | $5.39B | $5.33B | $5.27B | $5.21B | $5.15B | $5.09B | $5.04B | $4.98B | $4.92B | $4.87B | $90.68B |
| PV | $5.00B | $4.57B | $4.19B | $3.83B | $3.51B | $3.21B | $2.94B | $2.69B | $2.46B | $2.25B | $42.00B |
period to 30 Jun 2026, filed 5 Aug 2026, close 7 Aug 2026