FAST
NasdaqFASTENAL CO
Industrials, Trading Companies & Distributors
$51.84
close 7 Aug 2026
+8.36%
52-week change
$59.49B
market cap
$38.97
$51.90
52-week range
Expected price
Expected price
$38.14 – $46.62
Current price
$51.84
Signal
Could be overvalued
A historical-multiple reference, never a fair-value claim. The band uses only data public at each date and ends at the latest month — no forward estimates.
Current multiples
P/E (TTM)44.31x
P/S (TTM)6.80x
P/B14.62x
EV/EBITDA (TTM)30.39x
FCF yield (TTM)1.94%
PEG (TTM, GAAP)9.09
Context
P/E, own 5-year average35.19x
P/E, sector median29.72x*
Price at 5-year median P/E$41.71*
Indicated dividend yield2.01%
Forward — analyst consensus
Forward P/E (FY2026)41.19x*
Forward P/E (FY2027)37.24x
Forward PEG3.89*
Consensus EPS FY2026 (15 analysts)$1.26
EPS growth (FY2026→FY2027)10.60%
Revenue growth (FY2026)13.09%
Street view
Price target (mean)$48.07*
Target upside-7.27%
Ratings (buy / hold / sell)6 / 7 / 5
FY2026 EPS revisions, 30d (up / down)9 / 1
5-year history
Dashed line: average of month-end values
P/E (TTM)
P/S (TTM)
P/B
FCF yield (TTM)
Dividend yield
period to 30 Jun 2026, filed 16 Jul 2026, close 7 Aug 2026
Discounted cash flow
Ten projected years plus a perpetuity, prefilled from filings — a model to argue with, never a fair-value claim.
Free cash flow, last ten years and TTM
5Y CAGR +2.39%10Y CAGR +10.27%
Assumptions
As filed — not assumptions
Current price$51.84
Cash & equivalents$204.70M
Total debt$120.00M
Shares outstanding1.15B
Result
DCF price per share$18.69
Current price$51.84
Margin of safety-63.95%
PV of years 1–10$8.72B
PV of terminal value$12.64B
Equity value$21.44B
Market-implied growth+15.55%
Projected FCF, years 1–10
Hover for PV and growth
Projection detail
Override growth for any year; blank years use the uniform rate
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | 2031 | 2032 | 2033 | 2034 | 2035 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Growth, % | 2.5 | ||||||||||
| FCF | $1.18B | $1.21B | $1.24B | $1.27B | $1.30B | $1.33B | $1.36B | $1.40B | $1.43B | $1.46B | $27.28B |
| PV | $1.10B | $1.04B | $984.97M | $933.80M | $885.30M | $839.31M | $795.71M | $754.38M | $715.19M | $678.04M | $12.64B |
period to 30 Jun 2026, filed 16 Jul 2026, close 7 Aug 2026