TPL
NYSETexas Pacific Land Corp
Energy, Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
$340.65
close 7 Aug 2026
+19.55%
52-week change
$23.50B
market cap
$269.23
$547.20
52-week range
Expected price
Expected price
$300.72 – $367.54
Current price
$340.65
Signal
Appears fairly valued
A historical-multiple reference, never a fair-value claim. The band uses only data public at each date and ends at the latest month — no forward estimates.
Current multiples
P/E (TTM)43.43x
P/S (TTM)26.18x
P/B14.05x
EV/EBITDA (TTM)31.41x
FCF yield (TTM)1.96%
PEG (TTM, GAAP)15.63
Context
P/E, own 5-year average44.46x
P/E, sector median15.54x*
Price at 5-year median P/E$332.58*
Indicated dividend yield0.70%
Forward — analyst consensus
Forward P/E (FY2026)39.34x*
Forward P/E (FY2027)35.16x
Forward PEG3.31*
Consensus EPS FY2026 (2 analysts)$8.66
EPS growth (FY2026→FY2027)11.90%
Revenue growth (FY2026)23.53%
Street view
Price target (mean)$443.50*
Target upside30.19%
Ratings (buy / hold / sell)1 / 0 / 1
FY2026 EPS revisions, 30d (up / down)0 / 2
5-year history
Dashed line: average of month-end values
P/E (TTM)
P/S (TTM)
P/B
FCF yield (TTM)
Dividend yield
period to 30 Jun 2026, filed 5 Aug 2026, close 7 Aug 2026
Discounted cash flow
Ten projected years plus a perpetuity, prefilled from filings — a model to argue with, never a fair-value claim.
Free cash flow, last ten years and TTM
5Y CAGR +20.35%
Assumptions
As filed — not assumptions
Current price$340.65
Cash & equivalents$248.61M
Total debt$0.00
Shares outstanding68.97M
Result
DCF price per share$499.15
Current price$340.65
Margin of safety+46.53%
PV of years 1–10$8.78B
PV of terminal value$25.40B
Equity value$34.43B
Market-implied growth+15.29%
Projected FCF, years 1–10
Hover for PV and growth
Projection detail
Override growth for any year; blank years use the uniform rate
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | 2031 | 2032 | 2033 | 2034 | 2035 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Growth, % | 2.5 | ||||||||||
| FCF | $555.46M | $668.50M | $804.54M | $968.26M | $1.17B | $1.40B | $1.69B | $2.03B | $2.44B | $2.94B | $54.83B |
| PV | $514.32M | $573.13M | $638.67M | $711.70M | $793.09M | $883.78M | $984.84M | $1.10B | $1.22B | $1.36B | $25.40B |
period to 30 Jun 2026, filed 5 Aug 2026, close 7 Aug 2026